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Gold retreats as dampened Fed rate cut hopes dent appeal
  + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. Gold prices slipped on Monday as hopes for early interest rate cuts this year dampened, while focus shifted to the Federal Reserve policy meeting and U.S. non-farm payrolls data due this week for further clarity on monetary policy. "Short term, gold is facing some challenges given the likely delayed timeline for rate cuts. The Federal Reserve's policy meeting from April 30-May 1 and the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday are key for markets this week. The Fed is seen holding its benchmark interest rate steady at 5.25%-to-5.5% at this meeting.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Jerome Powell, Waterer Organizations: Federal Reserve, KCM Trade, Investors, People's Bank of, Citi Locations: Mendrisio, Switzerland, People's Bank of China
The recent gold rally is counterintuitive, as high interest rates typically make bullion less attractive. But billionaire investor David Einhorn has a theory that he shared in his latest investor letter. Einhorn suggests that gold's rally is potentially due to countries in the East buying gold from Western nations. To explain the strong run for gold, billionaire investor David Einhorn offered a potential theory in his latest letter to investors published this week. Others, like billionaire investor Ray Dalio, say gold can hedge risks stemming from high government debt levels.
Persons: David Einhorn, Einhorn, , there's, David Rosenberg, Ed Yardeni, Ray Dalio Organizations: Service, Federal, Greenlight, World Gold, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, India, Singapore
Gold prices are set to continue their record bull run to $3,000 per ounce, according to David Rosenberg. Rosenberg highlighted a buying spree from China's central bank as one reason why prices will rise. AdvertisementFamed economist David Rosenberg is feeling good about where gold prices are headed. But its share of gold reserves is tiny compared to other central banks, with the global average being 13%. That means there could be plenty of runway left for China to keep adding to its gold reserves.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, , it's Organizations: Federal, Service, Fed Locations: China
China's consumers and its central bank are snapping up gold, even as a falling yuan makes the metal pricier. AdvertisementChina's central bank has also been buying up gold, in much larger quantities than Gen Z's few grams of beans. Related storiesIn 2023, China's central bank bought 225 tons of gold, per the World Gold Council. The two economies have been jostled in the top spots for years, but China's buying spree last year put India behind. Advertisement"The amount of central bank buying is not justifying gold prices at current levels," she wrote.
Persons: , It's, Georgette Boele Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, People's Bank of China, Gold, World Gold Council, ABN AMRO Locations: China, China's, India, Poland, Singapore, Germany
New bank lending in China fell more than expected in February from a record high the previous month, even as the central bank seeks to spur sluggish economic growth and fight deflationary pressures. New bank lending in China fell more than expected in February from a record high the previous month, even as the central bank seeks to spur sluggish economic growth and fight deflationary pressures. Outstanding yuan loans grew 10.1% from a year earlier — the lowest on record — compared with 10.4% growth in January. Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted new yuan loans would fall to 1.50 trillion yuan in February from 4.92 trillion yuan the previous month and against 1.81 trillion yuan a year earlier. Chinese banks made 6.37 trillion yuan in new yuan loans in the first two months of 2024, data released by the central bank showed on Friday.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Analysts, Reuters, ING, Consumer Locations: Beijing, China
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on July 20, 2023 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Jiang Qiming/China News Service/VCG via Getty Images China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall after producer prices in the U.S. grew faster than expected in February, coming in at 0.6% last month. Excluding food and energy prices, core PPI climbed 0.3% in February. Economists polled by Dow Jones had expected a 0.3% gain for headline PPI and a 0.2% increase for the core reading. Investors in Asia will be watching out for any news from Japan's spring wage negotiations, with first estimates expected to come out later in the day.
Persons: Jiang Qiming, Dow Jones Organizations: People's Bank of China, China News Service, Getty Images China, Service, Getty, PPI, Nikkei, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Chicago, Osaka, People's Bank of China, Australia
Hong Kong CNN —China’s consumer inflation turned positive for the first time in six months, largely supported by the Lunar New Year holiday, when a spending boom pushed up prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.7% in February from a year earlier, government data showed on Saturday, versus a rise of 0.3% forecast in a Reuters poll. This was the first increase in the inflation rate since August 2023. Last Tuesday, Premier Li Qiang said the government had set this year’s growth target at around 5% and inflation target at 3%. But the key to growth and rising prices will be how Beijing implements its policy to stimulate demand and boost confidence, analysts said.
Persons: , , Zhiwei Zhang, ” Nomura, Price, Li Qiang, Gongsheng, Zheng Shanjie Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Index, , People’s Bank of China, Getty, National, ” Citi Locations: China, Hong Kong, Nanjing, Jiangsu province, Beijing
Hong Kong CNN —Chinese leaders have pledged to achieve an ambitious growth rate this year, while reshaping its economic model to focus on technology innovation. On Tuesday, Premier Li Qiang announced that economic growth target of around 5% for 2024, which he said “will not be easy” to hit, given that a Covid-battered 2022 had provided a lower base of growth for last year. “The level of support is likely too little to rocket the economy to its 5% growth target this year,” said Sarah Tan, an economist at Moody’s, referring to the measures announced by Li Tuesday. “China is walking a tightrope on the fiscal front between infrastructure stimulus and LGFV [local government financing vehicle] deleveraging,” said Goldman Sachs analysts on Wednesday. In order to achieve the ambitious 5% growth target, more specific stimulus is needed, such as increasing manufacturing investments, Liu said.
Persons: Li Qiang, , , Sarah Tan, Li Tuesday, Goldman Sachs, Li, ” Nomura, Xi Jinping, Peiqian Liu, Liu, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, AFP, Getty, Goldman, Fidelity International, People’s Bank of China, Jefferies Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, , Asia,
Photo taken on January 21, 2024 shows a real estate project under construction in Huai 'an city, Jiangsu province, China. CFOTO | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesPolicymakers are doing little to soothe concerns surrounding China's ailing economy, Brian McCarthy, chief strategist at Macrolens told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Wednesday. The latest monetary policy announcement from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) saw the central bank cut the benchmark 5-year loan prime rate by 25 basis points earlier this week. Many observers saw the move as an effort to boost the country's struggling property market, as the majority of mortgages are pegged to this rate. The 5-year loan prime rate cut was a more "aggressive" move within these decisions, he added.
Persons: Huai, Brian McCarthy, Macrolens, CNBC's, Wei Yao, Générale, stabler, McCarthy Organizations: Getty, People's Bank of China, CSI Locations: Jiangsu province, China, Asia
Hong Kong CNN —China’s central bank has cut its key mortgage reference rate by a record amount, as it ramps up efforts to stem a prolonged property crisis. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced Tuesday that it would cut its five-year loan prime rate (LPR) from 4.2% to 3.95%, while keeping the one-year LPR unchanged at 3.45%. The 25 basis point cut to the five-year LPR is the biggest reduction the central bank has made since it revamped its LPR system in 2019. The latest cut was also the first reduction to the five-year LPR since June 2023. “Today’s 25 (basis point) cut to the five-year LPR is clearly aimed at supporting the housing market,” analysts from Capital Economics said in a note on Tuesday.
Persons: , Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, People’s Bank of China, Capital Economics, Zhongrong Trust, State Administration of Foreign Exchange Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen
China's lenders cut the country's benchmark five-year loan prime rate for the first time since June, extending Beijing's efforts to revive the country's anemic property market. The Chinese central bank kept its one-year loan prime rate — the peg for most household and corporate loans in China — unchanged at 3.45%. The benchmark five-year loan rate — the peg for most mortgages — was cut by 25 basis points to 3.95%, according to a statement Tuesday from the People's Bank of China. This was also the largest one-time cut in the five-year rate and the first since the five-year rate was last trimmed in June by 10 basis points. China calculates its loan prime rates each month after 20 designated commercial lenders submit their proposed rates to the PBOC.
Persons: Louise Loo, Loo, CNBC's Lee Ying Shan Organizations: People's Bank of China, Oxford Economics, Sunday Locations: China, Beijing
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on Dec. 25, 2023 in Beijing, China. China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as expected on Sunday when rolling over maturing medium-term loans, with uncertainties around the timing of an easing by the Federal Reserve limiting Beijing's room to maneuver on monetary policy. China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as expected on Sunday when rolling over maturing medium-term loans, with uncertainties around the timing of an easing by the Federal Reserve limiting Beijing's room to maneuver on monetary policy. But any aggressive monetary movement risks reviving depreciation pressure on the Chinese currency and capital outflows. Sunday's operation was meant to "maintain banking system liquidity reasonably ample," the central bank said in an online statement.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Federal Reserve Locations: Beijing, China, outflows
"I don't think you can treat the world's second-largest economy as either an alternative investment or un-investable, that would be wide of the mark," Bilton said. Uncertainty around monetary policy and a shrinking labor force are further causes for concern, Bilton noted. Some analysts saw this as potential dovish policy shift from the PBOC, which has appeared reluctant to take measures that could boost the struggling economy. Financial bodies including the International Monetary Fund have called for further monetary policy reforms since then. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told CNBC this week that China had been advised to make use of more of its available fiscal and monetary policy space.
Persons: Raul Ariano, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, Kristalina Georgieva Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, JPMorgan Asset Management, People's Bank of, International Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC Locations: Yuyuan, Shanghai, China, People's Bank of China
Chinese stocks have given up much of their recent gains as investors debate whether the bottom is really in. They screened for names with more than $1 billion in capitalization and expectations for earnings growth in the next two years. Such signals come at a time when Chinese stocks have sold off sharply. Chinese stocks – whether measured by those that trade in the mainland, Hong Kong or U.S. – have fallen for more than two years. "In the past Chinese companies grew rapidly, many companies' results grew exponentially," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC.
Persons: Evercore, Rachel Wang, Clocktower, Ye Yuhua, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: People's Bank of China, Seng Index, Shanghai, Morningstar, CNBC, Baidu, Li Auto Locations: U.S, Beijing, Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, Guangzhou
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewAlthough China looks dead-set on another year of economic distress, its prospects are brighter than they seem, a former advisor to the People's Bank of China wrote. For this reason, it helps that China's economy faces two-pronged deflation, with both consumer and producer price indices in the red, Yongding wrote. That means Beijing can inject considerable fiscal stimulus without concerns about inflation. According to Yongding, China's infrastructure is still behind in critical sectors, such as healthcare, education, and transportation.
Persons: , Yu Yongding, Yongding Organizations: Service, People's Bank of China, Business, Project Syndicate, Monetary Locations: China, Beijing
Chinese stocks are starting to turn around. How to play it
  + stars: | 2024-01-28 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Chinese stocks ended the week with four straight days of gains — a rare upswing after a dismal start to the year. "Investing in China, you have to have an active strategy," he said, emphasizing the need to focus on industries that receive policy support. All three are listed on mainland Chinese stock exchanges. In the past six months, foreign investors have pulled around $30 billion from mainland Chinese A shares, the report said. Citi analysts also include adidas and Kone in their basket of European stocks with China exposure.
Persons: David Chao, Chao, Pan Gongsheng, Edward Chan, Schelling Xie, Xie, CRRC, , Peter Alexander, Alexander, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia Pacific, People's Bank of China, PBOC, . Federal Reserve, Financial Regulatory Administration, CNBC, HSBC, Hong, Citi, adidas, Kone Locations: Asia, Japan, Invesco, China, Beijing, Hong Kong, Shanghai, U.S
BANGKOK (AP) — China’s leaders launched a barrage of new policies this week to prop up languishing financial markets and rekindle growth in the world’s second-largest economy. The moves to support lending and spending with billions of dollars of fresh cash gathered pace when the central bank cut bank reserve requirements and issued new rules to encourage banks to lend more to property companies. HOW IS THE CHINESE ECONOMY DOING? The Chinese economy grew at a 5.2% annual pace in 2023, exceeding the government's target, and many indicators including factory output and retail sales show signs of improvement. The moves to put more money into the economy and encourage bank lending might not go far enough, many analysts said.
Persons: , Premier Li Qiang, , It's, Pan Gongsheng, ” Stephen Innes Organizations: State Council, Economic, People's Bank of China Gov, Management Locations: BANGKOK, United States, China, Premier, Davos, Switzerland, Hong Kong, Beijing
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of America and KraneShares strategists discuss the impact of China's PBOC easing on its marketsWinnie Wu, Bank of America's chief China equity strategist, says recent policy measures to stabilize the stock market help put a floor "to stop some of this capitulation," but a "fundamental turnaround" will be needed if investors are to return to the Chinese market.
Persons: Wu Organizations: Email Bank of America, Bank of America's Locations: China
Currency dealers monitor exchange rates in a trading room at the KEB Hana Bank in Seoul on March 13, 2017. South Korean shares rose 0.97 percent on March 13 following the Constitutional Court's ruling to impeach ex-president Park Geun-Hye over a massive corruption scandal. The benchmark KOSPI was up 20.24 points to close at 2,117.59 points. / AFP PHOTO / JUNG Yeon-Je (Photo credit should read JUNG YEON-JE/AFP/Getty Images)Asia-Pacific markets mostly fell as investors assessed South Korea's gross domestic product numbers and markets respond to China's central bank cutting reserve requirements for the country's lenders. South Korea's GDP grew 2.2% year on year in the fourth quarter and 0.6% compared with the previous quarter, beating expectations from a Reuters poll of 2.1% and 0.5%, respectively.
Persons: Park, JUNG Yeon, JUNG YEON, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Hana Bank, South, Getty, People's Bank of China Locations: Seoul, Asia, Pacific
Starting Feb. 5, the People's Bank of China will allow banks to hold smaller cash reserves, central bank governor Pan Gongsheng said at a press conference, his first in the role. Cutting the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points is set to release 1 trillion yuan ($139.8 billion) in long-term capital, the central bank said. A 2 trillion yuan boost? Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Monday called for much stronger measures to boost market stability and confidence, according to an official readout. Chinese authorities in October already announced the issuance of 1 trillion yuan in government bonds, alongside a rare increase in the deficit.
Persons: Gongsheng, Pan Gongsheng, Tao Wang, Ting Lu, a, Lu, Wang, Stocks, Winnie Wu, That's, Li Qiang, Pan, Philip Yin, David Chao, Pan's Organizations: People's Bank of China, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Financial, Getty, Visual China, People's Bank of, UBS Investment Bank, Wednesday, National Financial Regulatory Administration, UBS, Bank of America's, Bloomberg, PBOC, Citi, U.S, Asia Pacific, CNBC Locations: BEIJING, CHINA, Beijing, China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Hong Kong, capitulating, Japan, Invesco
Hong Kong CNN —Chinese shares haven’t just had a bad start to 2024. The astonishing losses, reminiscent of the last Chinese stock market crash of 2015-2016, highlight a crisis of confidence among investors concerned about the country’s future. But on the same day, major state-owned banks moved to support the Chinese yuan, in order to prevent the currency from falling too fast as Chinese shares plunged, according to a Reuters report, citing unnamed sources. Topics related to the “market plunge” and “China’s stock market rescue” were trending on Weibo on Tuesday. “I’m sad about today’s stock market performance,” Hu Xijin, former editor-in-chief for state newspaper Global Times, posted on Weibo on Monday.
Persons: It’s, , Goldman Sachs, Wall, Li Qiang, , Nomura, bedeviling, Beijing’s, Li, Ken Cheung, ” Hu Xijin, “ Hu Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Reuters, Bloomberg, Monday, People’s Bank of China, , Big Tech, Xinhua, Hong, Mizuho Bank, Global Times Locations: China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Japan, Asia, Beijing, US, Weibo
China's stock market lost more than $6 trillion in valuation from 2021 through last week. The market is confused by Beijing's policy stance on the economy, per Nomura economists. AdvertisementA brutal downcycle in China's stock market has wiped out over $6 trillion in valuations since 2021 — and policymakers in Beijing may be adding to the turmoil. "There has been increasing confusion over Beijing's policy stance on the economy," wrote Nomura economists in a Monday note seen by Business Insider. While China's stock market is still in the dumps, some see opportunities ahead.
Persons: , Bloomberg's, Xi Jinping's, Ji Min Organizations: Bloomberg, Nomura, Service, CSI, People's Bank of China, Business, Economic Work, China Morning Locations: Beijing, China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen
BEIJNG, CHINA - NOVEMBER 13: Illuminated skyscrapers stand at the central business district at sunset on November 13, 2023 in Beijing, China. The economy here is bad, it's pretty ... it's really bad. In December, depressed prices for pork — which makes up around a fifth of China's CPI basket — heralded the possible advent of deflation. The decision comes amid infectious expectations among investment banks that China's economy will expand at a more sluggish pace in 2024. Despite this, the International Monetary Fund in November outlined a forecast for China's growth to slow in 2024 to just 4.6%.
Persons: Gao Zehong, it's, I've, Shaun Rein, CNBC's, Rein, Li Qiang, Li Organizations: Getty, China Market Research Group, CPI, People's Bank of China, Economic, International Monetary Fund Locations: BEIJNG, CHINA, Beijing, China, Davos, Switzerland
Dollar wobbles; yuan on guard ahead of China data dump
  + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar ebbed on Monday on renewed expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in March, while the Chinese yuan struggled near a one-month low ahead of a slew of economic data this week. The offshore yuan languished near a one-month low of 7.1925 per dollar hit on Friday, and was last at 7.1861 per dollar. "I think more PBOC (People's Bank of China) easing is coming this year," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. "I don't think (Monday's move) will materially weigh on the (yuan) because a rate cut is more or less priced in. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, edged 0.07% higher to $0.6690.
Persons: China's, Sterling, Chris Weston, Carol Kong, Party's Lai Ching, te, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, U.S, Treasury, CPI, PPI, Bank of, People's Bank of China, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Australian, New Zealand, Democratic, Taiwan Locations: Asia, U.S, Bank of Japan, China, Taiwan
Hong Kong CNN —Fan Yifei, a disgraced former Chinese central banker, has admitted making a “huge mistake” in comments aired as part of a documentary by state broadcaster CCTV that alleges he accepted massive bribes from the beginning of his tenure. It described how he had received “extraordinarily massive” payments from executives of various companies in exchange for favors after taking up the PBOC’s second-highest position. “I wanted to possess great power, and at the same time, to be rich,” Fan said in the documentary. “I made a huge mistake.”According to CCTV, Fan accepted payments from businesspeople through his brother’s investment company. In addition to Fan’s case, the CCTV documentary exposed graft at a state-owned energy investment group and at the highest levels of Chinese sport.
Persons: Fan, Xi Jinping, , Qian Long, Liu Liange, Wang Bin, Tang Shuangning, Tang, Wang Yongsheng, Wang, Li, China’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, People’s Bank of China’s, Central Commission, Xinhua, Communist Party, National Supervisory Commission, of China, China Life Insurance, China Everbright, China Development Bank, China Daily, soccer team, China’s Twitter Locations: China, Hong Kong, Xinhua, Weibo
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